The Buffalo Bills (8-3) travel to face the New England Patriots (6-5) for this week’s matchup on “Thursday Night Football.” The Patriots are home underdogs with the Bills favored by five, and sportsbooks have the game total set at 43.5.
Dating back to 2020, the Patriots have struggled vs. Buffalo, winning only one of their last five matchups. The Bills and Patriots both need a win as Buffalo is fighting to stay on top of the division (they are currently in a tie record-wise with Miami) and the Patriots still have a sliver of hope to make it to the postseason.
If you want to get in on the action, here are some player props to consider for Thursday night’s tilt.
Rhamondre Stevenson over 31.5 receiving yards (-125)
Stevenson has averaged 7.5 targets and 54 receiving yards per game since Week 7 and is one of Mac Jones’s favorite targets. In fact, Stevenson’s 50 catches lead all Patriots for the season! Damien Harris is not expected to play, and though the Bills seem like a tough matchup, they have struggled of late allowing the 10th-most passing yards to QBs and the eighth-most receiving yards, 6.63 yards per target, to opposing running backs across the past four contests.
Josh Allen under 267.5 passing yards (-120)
Yes, I think the Bills win this one, but I don’t think it will be a shootout. Allen did practice fully this week, but he’s been recently dealing with a UCL strain. The Patriots are allowing only 198.5 passing yards per game this year, and Allen can win this one without having to air it out.
Devin Singletary’s longest rush under 12.5 yards (-110)
Singletary has been solid for the Bills this year, but he hasn’t done it by breaking off a lot of big chunk runs. He’s only exceeded this prop in three contests this year, and the Patriots are allowing an average of only 4.02 yards per attempt to opposing runners. That’s the seventh-best mark in the league.
Dawson Knox anytime TD (+240)
Knox has seen 11 percent of the team’s red-zone targets this year which is tied with WR Gabe Davis. Though Knox has only scored two touchdowns compared with Davis’ five, this matchup is right for Knox. The Patriots have allowed eight touchdowns to the TE position, second only to the Arizona Cardinals (nine).